obama people claim he had a lead in ohio. changed the dynamic on the ground. >> we now have a rasmussen poll, the first, i believe, of any of them to show romney ahead. the other sho they are tied. it's ted heat of a state romney had in his pocket a month ago. >> if you freeze race -- >> you freeze it to some extent. you leave five days instead of eight days. i'm not sure it's decisive. the polls tell us absent the hurricane, romney is a slow and steady tortoise in the race. be passing obama. he probably still does. look at the national poll. you cannot, if gallup is anywhere near right. gallup has him up six. say he is up three. you can't win national election by three points and lose in the electoral college. this is uncon zeable. if you win in popular vote you lose electoral in the year 2000 the margin is fraction of fraction of fraction of 1% of one state if florida. the national polls they are disconnected, you can't have a disconnect that large between the national and electoral college. >> i find ohio numbers hard to b